← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589856

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

98.0% implied · bid 97.9¢ · ask 98.0¢

The market prices this at 97.7%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability97.7%

Bid / ask / mid97.9¢ / 98.0¢ / 98.0¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)

Change 24h-0.40pt

Change 7d+10.45pt

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 61% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$6,398

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$14,370 / $11,095

Imbalance61% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score62.2 / 100

RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.27

RSI (14, hourly)38.9

Realized vol 7d0.39pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 13d 23h.

Time to resolve13d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%