← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2589857

Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?

1.0% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.2¢

The market prices this at 1.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.

Implied probability1.0%

Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.0¢

Spread0.4¢ (40.0%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,115

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$203 / $223

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.2 / 100

RSI 56 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.34

RSI (14, hourly)55.6

Realized vol 7d0.08pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 13d 23h.

Time to resolve13d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%