← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2591184

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?

57.0% implied · bid 56.0¢ · ask 58.0¢

The market prices this at 58.0%, up 10.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability58.0%

Bid / ask / mid56.0¢ / 58.0¢ / 57.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (3.5%)

Change 24h+10.50pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,148

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$575 / $1,155

Imbalance12% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score40.9 / 100

RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.31

RSI (14, hourly)88.2

Realized vol 7d0.72pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%