← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2602762
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 75.9%, up 4.2pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.
Implied probability75.9%
Bid / ask / mid75.5¢ / 77.6¢ / 76.5¢
Spread2.1¢ (2.7%)
Change 24h+4.20pt
Change 7d-17.45pt
Longshot tax+5% historically (65-80¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$58,115
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$990 / $110
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score40.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.96
RSI (14, hourly)59.9
Realized vol 7d1.19pt
Change 1h-0.90pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 73d 4h.
Time to resolve73d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (10)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 65-80¢ bucket has returned +5% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.