← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2602764
Will Ronaldo Caiado qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
1.4% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.7¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability0.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (42.9%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$18 / $9
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 11.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-11.41
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 6h.
Time to resolve29d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%