← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2602765
Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
2.4% implied · bid 1.9¢ · ask 2.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.9%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability2.9%
Bid / ask / mid1.9¢ / 2.9¢ / 2.4¢
Spread1.0¢ (41.7%)
Change 24h-0.05pt
Change 7d-1.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,946
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$291 / $950
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.35
RSI (14, hourly)46.2
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 6h.
Time to resolve29d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%