← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2646914
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
91.3% implied · bid 90.7¢ · ask 91.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 92.1%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.
Implied probability92.1%
Bid / ask / mid90.7¢ / 91.9¢ / 91.3¢
Spread1.2¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+1.05pt
Change 7d+8.15pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 76/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11,170
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,059 / $36,363
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score76.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.99
RSI (14, hourly)73.3
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h-0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%