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Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.2¢

The market prices this at 1.2%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.2%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢

Spread0.2¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h-0.20pt

Change 7d-2.05pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$865

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$62 / $197

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.1 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.34

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.12pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%