← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2646919
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
4.5% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 5.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability3.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 5.0¢ / 4.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,011
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$483 / $1,172
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.86
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%