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Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?

2.5% implied · bid 2.5¢ · ask 2.6¢

The market prices this at 2.5%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability2.5%

Bid / ask / mid2.5¢ / 2.6¢ / 2.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (3.9%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.70pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,243

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$535 / $350

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.9 / 100

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.66

RSI (14, hourly)33.3

Realized vol 7d0.10pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%