← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2658303

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?

3.3% implied · bid 2.8¢ · ask 3.7¢

The market prices this at 2.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability2.9%

Bid / ask / mid2.8¢ / 3.7¢ / 3.3¢

Spread0.9¢ (27.7%)

Change 24h+0.10pt

Change 7d-3.25pt

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,929

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,933 / $2,161

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.5 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.02

RSI (14, hourly)46.9

Realized vol 7d0.20pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 10h.

Time to resolve26d 10h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%