Refacto TerminalPolymarket
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2661520

Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

3.0% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 4.2¢

☆ Log in to track

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.3%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.4¢ spread.

Implied probability5.3%
Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 4.2¢ / 3.0¢
Spread2.4¢ (80.0%)
Change 24h-0.45pt
Change 7d-0.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 38/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $49
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 35 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.48
RSI (14, hourly)34.6
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 12d 5h.

Time to resolve12d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth