← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2661522
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
32.0% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 33.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 33.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability33.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 33.0¢ / 32.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 33% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,759
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,825 / $1,656
Imbalance33% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 6d 5h.
Time to resolve6d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%