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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2661523

Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?

63.0% implied · bid 62.0¢ · ask 64.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$6,717
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$436 / $7,433
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score43.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.83
RSI (14, hourly)73.3
Realized vol 7d0.79pt
Change 1h+0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 6h.

Time to resolve7d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth