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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2661524

Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?

2.6% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 3.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.3%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.3%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 3.2¢ / 2.6¢
Spread1.2¢ (46.2%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+1.85pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$17,927
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$430 / $120
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 48 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.90
RSI (14, hourly)48.1
Realized vol 7d0.22pt
Change 1h+0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 7d 6h.

Time to resolve7d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth