← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2696746
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
1.0% implied · bid 0.9¢ · ask 1.1¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.8%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability0.8%
Bid / ask / mid0.9¢ / 1.1¢ / 1.0¢
Spread0.2¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,640
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$774 / $1,108
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.76
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 26d 11h.
Time to resolve26d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%