← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2734383
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
6.0% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (33.3%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$966
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$173 / $130
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.65
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%