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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760532

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?

10.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 12.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 12.0¢ / 10.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-13.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$83
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$88 / $13
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.9σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.90
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.86pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth