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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760533

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?

60.5% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 63.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 63.0%, down 11.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.

Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 63.0¢ / 60.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (8.3%)
Change 24h-11.00pt
Change 7d+16.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$191
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$97 / $301
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 77 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.87
RSI (14, hourly)76.9
Realized vol 7d1.97pt
Change 1h-0.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth