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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760534

Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?

16.1% implied · bid 12.3¢ · ask 19.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 13.1%, up 4.9pt over 24h, on a 7.5¢ spread.

Implied probability13.1%
Bid / ask / mid12.3¢ / 19.8¢ / 16.1¢
Spread7.5¢ (46.7%)
Change 24h+4.85pt
Change 7d+6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 13/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$249
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9 / $10
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score12.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)55.1
Realized vol 7d1.91pt
Change 1h+6.55pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth