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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760536

Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?

3.3% implied · bid 1.8¢ · ask 4.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.3%, down 1.9pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability1.3%
Bid / ask / mid1.8¢ / 4.8¢ / 3.3¢
Spread3.0¢ (90.9%)
Change 24h-1.90pt
Change 7d-2.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$28
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $27
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.54
RSI (14, hourly)23.0
Realized vol 7d0.76pt
Change 1h-0.30pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth