← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760544

Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?

65.2% implied · bid 63.6¢ · ask 66.8¢

The market prices this at 65.8%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 3.2¢ spread.

Implied probability65.8%

Bid / ask / mid63.6¢ / 66.8¢ / 65.2¢

Spread3.2¢ (4.9%)

Change 24h-0.60pt

Change 7d+8.25pt

Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 21% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$29

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$222 / $167

Imbalance21% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score34.2 / 100

RSI 47 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.93

RSI (14, hourly)47.4

Realized vol 7d3.89pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%