← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760545
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
27.6% implied · bid 25.9¢ · ask 29.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.4%, down 1.2pt over 24h, on a 3.3¢ spread.
Implied probability28.4%
Bid / ask / mid25.9¢ / 29.2¢ / 27.6¢
Spread3.3¢ (12.0%)
Change 24h-1.25pt
Change 7d-7.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 34/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$5
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16 / $40
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score33.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 4 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.57
RSI (14, hourly)3.7
Realized vol 7d3.02pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 9h.
Time to resolve24d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%