← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760546

Will the median home value in the US be between $426,000 and $433,000 on September 30?

6.2% implied · bid 5.2¢ · ask 7.2¢

The market prices this at 2.3%, up 2.9pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability2.3%

Bid / ask / mid5.2¢ / 7.2¢ / 6.2¢

Spread2.0¢ (32.3%)

Change 24h+2.95pt

Change 7d-5.30pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$381

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23 / $5

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score40.0 / 100

RSI 70 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.55

RSI (14, hourly)70.2

Realized vol 7d1.48pt

Change 1h+4.25pt

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%