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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760547

Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?

1.4% implied · bid 1.1¢ · ask 1.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 1.4%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability1.4%
Bid / ask / mid1.1¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.4¢
Spread0.6¢ (42.9%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$511
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15 / $8
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 39 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.32
RSI (14, hourly)39.5
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 10h.

Time to resolve25d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth