← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760558

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?

81.0% implied · bid 80.0¢ · ask 82.0¢

The market prices this at 79.0%, down 9.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability79.0%

Bid / ask / mid80.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 81.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.5%)

Change 24h-9.50pt

Change 7d-8.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 30% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,818

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$120 / $565

Imbalance30% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score40.3 / 100

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 7.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-7.24

RSI (14, hourly)0.0

Realized vol 7d0.64pt

Change 1h-1.50pt

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%