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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760559

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?

4.3% implied · bid 2.7¢ · ask 5.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 6.2%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 3.1¢ spread.

Implied probability6.2%
Bid / ask / mid2.7¢ / 5.8¢ / 4.3¢
Spread3.1¢ (72.9%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $23
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score34.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 8.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean8.46
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth