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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760560

Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?

7.9% implied · bid 1.3¢ · ask 14.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.0%, up 5.5pt over 24h, on a 13.2¢ spread.

Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.3¢ / 14.5¢ / 7.9¢
Spread13.2¢ (167.1%)
Change 24h+5.55pt
Change 7d+5.20pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 73 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.62
RSI (14, hourly)73.4
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.15pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth