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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760565

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?

74.5% implied · bid 74.0¢ · ask 75.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 74.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability74.0%
Bid / ask / mid74.0¢ / 75.0¢ / 74.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-17.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 46% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$115
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$539 / $422
Imbalance46% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d1.32pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth