← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760566

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30?

17.4% implied · bid 17.0¢ · ask 17.9¢

The market prices this at 14.1%, up 10.0pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability14.1%

Bid / ask / mid17.0¢ / 17.9¢ / 17.4¢

Spread0.9¢ (5.2%)

Change 24h+10.05pt

Change 7d+14.15pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$20 / $40

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.01

RSI (14, hourly)75.5

Realized vol 7d3.28pt

Change 1h+1.45pt

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%