← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760567

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?

4.5% implied · bid 2.2¢ · ask 6.9¢

The market prices this at 2.4%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 4.7¢ spread.

Implied probability2.4%

Bid / ask / mid2.2¢ / 6.9¢ / 4.5¢

Spread4.7¢ (103.3%)

Change 24h-2.50pt

Change 7d-0.90pt

Thin (score 27/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4 / $1

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score26.5 / 100

RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.69

RSI (14, hourly)12.1

Realized vol 7d0.85pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 24d 9h.

Time to resolve24d 9h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%