← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760568

Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30?

4.8% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 8.1¢

The market prices this at 18.9%, up 4.0pt over 24h, on a 6.7¢ spread.

Implied probability18.9%

Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 8.1¢ / 4.8¢

Spread6.7¢ (141.1%)

Change 24h+4.05pt

Change 7d+2.75pt

Thin (score 17/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$24

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2 / $10

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score16.5 / 100

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 16.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean15.99

RSI (14, hourly)56.8

Realized vol 7d0.55pt

Change 1h-3.00pt

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%