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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760582

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?

11.3% implied · bid 4.0¢ · ask 18.6¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.0%, up 5.7pt over 24h, on a 14.6¢ spread.

Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.0¢ / 18.6¢ / 11.3¢
Spread14.6¢ (129.2%)
Change 24h+5.70pt
Change 7d+6.15pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.91
RSI (14, hourly)59.9
Realized vol 7d3.13pt
Change 1h+6.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 10h.

Time to resolve25d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth