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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760584

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?

31.0% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 32.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 32.0%, down 2.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h-2.50pt
Change 7d-3.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$171
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$86 / $67
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.27
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 10h.

Time to resolve25d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth