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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760585

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?

27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 27.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 26% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$740
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$461 / $133
Imbalance26% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.99
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 10h.

Time to resolve25d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth