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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760586

Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?

12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $37
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)27.3
Realized vol 7d1.52pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 11h.

Time to resolve25d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth