← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2760586
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$12 / $37
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.40
RSI (14, hourly)27.3
Realized vol 7d1.52pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 11h.
Time to resolve25d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%