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Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

21.5% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

The market prices this at 20.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability20.0%

Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-2.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,016

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,545 / $3,439

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.5 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.53

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.23pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 10h.

Time to resolve117d 10h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%