← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2771324
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 63.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability63.0%
Bid / ask / mid63.0¢ / 64.0¢ / 63.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 59/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$7,587
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,934 / $17,897
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score58.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 88 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.57
RSI (14, hourly)87.5
Realized vol 7d0.41pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 223d 0h.
Time to resolve223d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Rules riskmedium (35)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.