← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2772194

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%

Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.00pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$445,906

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$19 / $835

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 459639016860098.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean459639016860098.81

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.00pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 222d 22h.

Time to resolve222d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Rules riskmedium (45)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.