← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2774057
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
2.1% implied · bid 2.0¢ · ask 2.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid2.0¢ / 2.2¢ / 2.1¢
Spread0.2¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-1.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$31,692
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$16,787 / $6,808
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score60.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.56
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 24d 5h.
Time to resolve24d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%