← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2822005

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

1.1% implied · bid 1.0¢ · ask 1.2¢

The market prices this at 1.1%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability1.1%

Bid / ask / mid1.0¢ / 1.2¢ / 1.1¢

Spread0.2¢ (18.2%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,768

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$383 / $3,157

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score50.8 / 100

RSI 59 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.01

RSI (14, hourly)58.8

Realized vol 7d0.07pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%