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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2822017

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

14.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 15.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 15.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 15.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,073
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$10,161 / $3,802
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 299d 11h.

Time to resolve299d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth