← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2824614
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
29.0% implied · bid 28.0¢ · ask 30.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid28.0¢ / 30.0¢ / 29.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (6.9%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d-10.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 16% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,738
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$898 / $379
Imbalance16% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.24
RSI (14, hourly)30.0
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%