← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2873443
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
25.5% implied · bid 25.0¢ · ask 26.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, down 13.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid25.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 25.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h-13.50pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 67% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$3,307
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$714 / $303
Imbalance67% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.96
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.52pt
Change 1h-2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 117d 10h.
Time to resolve117d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%