← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2923466
What will be the next Fed rate change?
79.5% implied · bid 78.0¢ · ask 81.0¢
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The market prices this at 83.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid78.0¢ / 81.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (3.8%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+22.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,941
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,442 / $1,121
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score36.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.82
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d1.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 849d 6h.
Time to resolve849d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%