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Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

5.2% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 6.3¢

The market prices this at 6.9%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 2.2¢ spread.

Implied probability6.9%

Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 6.3¢ / 5.2¢

Spread2.2¢ (42.3%)

Change 24h+0.05pt

Change 7d-3.00pt

Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$183

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$21 / $10

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score39.0 / 100

RSI 49 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.57

RSI (14, hourly)48.7

Realized vol 7d0.40pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 53d 7h.

Time to resolve53d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%