← Explore · Polymarket · Market 2941850
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?
90.0% implied · bid 89.5¢ · ask 90.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 89.3%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability89.3%
Bid / ask / mid89.5¢ / 90.4¢ / 90.0¢
Spread0.9¢ (1.0%)
Change 24h+0.65pt
Change 7d+1.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 19% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$820
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,836 / $1,715
Imbalance19% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34
RSI (14, hourly)38.5
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 53d 7h.
Time to resolve53d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%