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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3008013

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?

74.7% implied · bid 70.1¢ · ask 79.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 79.2%, up 62.8pt over 24h, on a 9.1¢ spread.

Implied probability79.2%
Bid / ask / mid70.1¢ / 79.2¢ / 74.7¢
Spread9.1¢ (12.2%)
Change 24h+62.75pt
Change 7d+68.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 5/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,064
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$39 / $9
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score4.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 81 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.0σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean7.03
RSI (14, hourly)80.8
Realized vol 7d5.97pt
Change 1h+64.85pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 9h.

Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth