← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3008494

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?

86.0% implied · bid 85.0¢ · ask 87.0¢

The market prices this at 86.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability86.0%

Bid / ask / mid85.0¢ / 87.0¢ / 86.0¢

Spread2.0¢ (2.3%)

Change 24h-1.00pt

Change 7d-5.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 52% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$169,976

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$34,797 / $9,490

Imbalance52% bid

Large trades (>$1k)15

Liquidity score62.1 / 100

RSI 78 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.12

RSI (14, hourly)78.4

Realized vol 7d1.28pt

Change 1h-0.50pt

Resolves in 26d 11h.

Time to resolve26d 11h

Resolution sourcedocumented

Sum of outcomes100.0%