← Explore · Polymarket · Market 3008528
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
79.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 82.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 76.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability76.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 82.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (6.3%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-8.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,708
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$84 / $275
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 76 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.32
RSI (14, hourly)76.5
Realized vol 7d2.01pt
Change 1h-1.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 9h.
Time to resolve25d 9h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Sum of outcomes100.0%